The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. Matthew Freedman poses and answers the burning question about Evans' future Hall of Fame chances. How Antonio Brown is hurting his Hall of Fame future, and what the volatile wide receiver needs to do to fix it Brown's continued off-field distractions have cast doubt on when -- and if -- he . While Tucker would be the overwhelming choice as the best kicker in football, the Hall has elected just two full-time kickers in its history. Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). The best trade Andy Reid ever made was moving up in the draft for Mahomes in 2017. Quarterback Drew Brees and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald are the two prominent ballot newcomers. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. He has been phenomenal while winning one Super Bowl, and came within an interception of winning a second, but he has also never been considered the best quarterback in football or garnered a single MVP vote. There could still be a season in which Mike Zimmer needs to use Barr as an edge rusher and he ends up with 10 sacks, but that's not going to be enough. The 2021 Radio Hall of Fame inductees will be honored at the in-person 2021 Radio Hall of Fame induction ceremony on Thursday, October 28, 2021, at Chicago's Wintrust Grand Banking Hall. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. The Hall of Fame receiver responded with a $100 million defamation lawsuit. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? Wentz's injury history this early in his career also doesn't bode well for his chances of playing deep into his 30s. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. Beasley won a sack title. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. Most Approximate Value (AV) in a receiver's best sets of five and seven consecutive seasons, 1960-2019. Kuechly played just eight seasons with the Panthers from 2012-19, but they were very good ones, with five first team All-Pro selections, seven Pro Bowls and a spot on the All-2010s team. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? Both are among the all-time leaders in every notable stat at their positions. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. If McCaffrey can piece together even two more seasons at his 2019 level and add two or three more like his 2018 campaign, that might be enough to make it to the Hall of Fame. Kiper's draft grades for every team The three have career numbers that are comparable, and Holt and Wayne had the good fortune of playing with Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning) while winning Super Bowls. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. Ranking the top outlier contracts It was a good weekend for wide receivers at the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio. Peterson, fifth all-time in rushing yards (14,918), is a good bet for election on the first ballot. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. One more nomination should get Smith in. McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Chase Young, S Landon Collins. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Naturally, now seems like a good time to look forward. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. 2 with 6,103 yards. Likely (70% to 99%): RB Ezekiel Elliott, G Zack Martin, OT Tyron Smith. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. I worry a little about Atkins because he plays in a small market and in an era in which he's second fiddle to a better version of the same player (Aaron Donald), but history suggests Atkins is in. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. In his other two seasons, he racked up a combined 23 sacks and made a pair of Pro Bowls. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Bakhtiari, likewise, is blocked by Tyron Smith. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. Collins retired with 70 touchdown receptions, sixth-best total in NFL history at the time and more than Hall of Fame receivers Lynn Swann, Art Monk, Bobby Mitchell, Michael Irvin and John Stallworth. He has stayed healthy and productive, so that hasn't been the issue. If his career lasts only six or seven seasons, though, he'll have to be a perennial All-Pro to make it to Canton. Itll be interesting to see if that stellar stretch is good enough to get him in Canton. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. Twelve of the 29 Hall-eligible players who have started their careers with three consecutive Pro Bowl nods have made it to Canton. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Le'Veon Bell, LB C.J. Campbell, who turns 34 next month, is probably going to miss out, which is a shame given how good he has been. It's tough to rack up interceptions in the modern NFL, but Peters has 27 since entering the league, nine more than any other player. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. He's an easy Hall of Famer. We still have to see what happens with the former LSU star, but of the 24 quarterbacks drafted with the first overall pick since the merger, five are either Hall of Famers or extremely likely to be enshrined. On the latest episode of the Let's Go! No promotions available. 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If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. Garrett has played at a much higher level than Mayfield, but the $125 million man has missed 11 of 48 games thanks to various injuries and his season-ending suspension in 2019. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. It hasn't been for lack of trying on his part, though. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. This trio is. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. We all know what he's capable of, but he needs to put together a first-team All-Pro or Defensive Player of the Year-level campaign soon. Gronk has five first-team All-Pro appearances. He played 16 seasons, but never led the league in any notable statistical category other than interceptions. Lock (100%): WR Larry Fitzgerald. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams If a receiver can enter the league and perform well right away at a boyish age, that speaks well for his future as he develops. The Bucs already have the best receiver duo in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the addition of a player like Brown in his prime would make this unit completely unfair. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. While injuries have cost Watt 32 games over the past four seasons, his unprecedented four-season peak from 2012 to 2015 locked up things. He's ahead of guys like Von Miller, Dwight Freeney, Terrell Suggs and Bruce Smith, and while he played more games than all but Suggs, the fact that he was a productive pass-rusher from the jump as a 21-year-old is a positive. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Partner with Us Back. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. Evans has a chance to continue making history in 2022. It's possible to make the Hall of Fame as a lineman without an All-Pro appearance, but the only guy to do it since the merger is Jackie Slater. In the running (40% to 69%): S Jamal Adams. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. He needs only three more years to get to 60,000 passing yards, and if that gets Philip Rivers in, Ryan shouldn't have much trouble. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Julian Edelman, LB Dont'a Hightower, S Devin McCourty. On Saturday night, Eagles star Harold Carmichael and Rams star Isaac Bruce were inducted as part of a . As long as Willis gets in, Wagner could retire tomorrow and follow his former rival right through the front door. Byard was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 when he led the league with eight picks, but despite playing at an upper-echelon level over the ensuing two seasons, he hasn't received the same consideration. March 25, 2020 9:36 pm ET. Williams made seven consecutive Pro Bowls before sitting out the 2019 season and forcing a trade to the 49ers. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. The one-time tight end has made nine Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro twice. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. Ranking NFL offensive weapons Eagles fans will be furious, but the reality is that Wentz has made one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game or led the league in a major statistical category (outside of fumbles) during his first four seasons. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. Mosley. All rights reserved. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Yannick Ngakoue. The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. James Harrison was a backup for four seasons, started regularly for the first time at 29, and probably won't make the Hall of Fame despite a pretty spectacular peak. The guy who hasn't played a single NFL snap? I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. He also earned two major awards: Defensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year the following season. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN He started his career with seven Pro Bowls in seven seasons, which is rarefied air. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. In the running (40% to 69%): C Maurkice Pouncey, LB T.J. Watt. Try selecting a different location. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. Rodgers is a three-time All-Pro, a member of the 2010s All-Decade Team and so much more. Even so, I think hell eventually get there. At the combine, he measured in at 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds and ran an impressive 4.53-second 40-yard dash. That wide receiver is Detroit Lions great Calvin Johnson. McCardell and Smith dubbed "Thunder . Unless he really hangs on into his 40s, he'll finish as the second-most-productive tight end in history, behind Tony Gonzalez. Kelce has been a first-team All-Pro three consecutive times, although he oddly didn't make the Pro Bowl in two of those campaigns. I mentioned the math for quarterbacks in the Bengals section; in Garrett's case, four of 26 non-QBs taken with the first overall pick since the merger have made it to the Hall. Also, if a guy enters the league at a young age, he could theoretically have a longer NFL career, which would give him more time in the second half (or post-peak portion) of his career to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case.
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